And if we had to include two of the Academy's choices?
Picture: no change
Actor: no change
Actress: no change
S. Actor: Hounsou, no change
S. Actress: Clarkson, Harden. This might help Clarkson, since she now has two nominations, and voters may choose the more controversial indie film over the lesser known indie film
Your Favorite Performances from 1930 to the present
Re: Your Favorite Performances from 1930 to the present
Now it's 2004. Here are the Academy's choices:
ACTOR
Don Cheadle – Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp – Finding Neverland
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Aviator
Clint Eastwood – Million Dollar Baby
Jamie Foxx – Ray
ACTRESS
Annette Bening – Being Julia
Catalina Sandino Moreno – Maria Full of Grace
Imelda Staunton – Vera Drake
Hilary Swank – Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet – Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alan Alda – The Aviator
Thomas Haden Church – Sideways
Jamie Foxx – Collateral
Morgan Freeman – Million Dollar Baby
Clive Owen – Closer
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett – The Aviator
Laura Linney – Kinsey
Virginia Madsen – Sideways
Sophie Okonedo – Hotel Rwanda
Natalie Portman – Closer
And here are my choices:
ACTOR
Mathieu Amalric, Kings and Queen
Tony Leung Chiu-Wai, 2046
Jim Carrey, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Bruno Ganz, Downfall
ACTRESS
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Audrey Tautou, A Very Long Engagement
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Holly Hunter, The Incredibles
Zhang Ziyi, 2046, House of Flying Daggers
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Michael Gambon, Layer Cake, The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
Danny Chow Kwok-Kwan, Kung Fu Hustle
Dustin Hoffman, I (Heart) Huckabees
Gaspard Ulliel, A Very Long Engagement
Tom Wilkinson, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Catherine Deneuve, Kings and Queen
Gong Li, 2046
Faye Wong, 2046
Lily Tomlin, I (Heart) Huckabees
Marion Cotillard, Innocence, A Very Long Engagement
And here are the best picture nominees:
The Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
The Incredibles
2046
A Very Long Engagement
The Weeping Meadow
So who would the Academy choose if they had to choose from my choices? For Actor, I suspect they would choose Cheadle, given that he was the only Oscar nominee I choose. For Actress, Staunton got the critic's love, but Winslet is now in a movie nominated for best picture. I think Winslet would win. For supporting actor, I think the Academy would leap at the opportunity to honor a movie as profitable as Harry Potter and choose Gambon. For supporting actress, I suspect they would give it to Tomlin, as the one American.
ACTOR
Don Cheadle – Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp – Finding Neverland
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Aviator
Clint Eastwood – Million Dollar Baby
Jamie Foxx – Ray
ACTRESS
Annette Bening – Being Julia
Catalina Sandino Moreno – Maria Full of Grace
Imelda Staunton – Vera Drake
Hilary Swank – Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet – Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alan Alda – The Aviator
Thomas Haden Church – Sideways
Jamie Foxx – Collateral
Morgan Freeman – Million Dollar Baby
Clive Owen – Closer
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett – The Aviator
Laura Linney – Kinsey
Virginia Madsen – Sideways
Sophie Okonedo – Hotel Rwanda
Natalie Portman – Closer
And here are my choices:
ACTOR
Mathieu Amalric, Kings and Queen
Tony Leung Chiu-Wai, 2046
Jim Carrey, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Bruno Ganz, Downfall
ACTRESS
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Audrey Tautou, A Very Long Engagement
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Holly Hunter, The Incredibles
Zhang Ziyi, 2046, House of Flying Daggers
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Michael Gambon, Layer Cake, The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
Danny Chow Kwok-Kwan, Kung Fu Hustle
Dustin Hoffman, I (Heart) Huckabees
Gaspard Ulliel, A Very Long Engagement
Tom Wilkinson, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Catherine Deneuve, Kings and Queen
Gong Li, 2046
Faye Wong, 2046
Lily Tomlin, I (Heart) Huckabees
Marion Cotillard, Innocence, A Very Long Engagement
And here are the best picture nominees:
The Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
The Incredibles
2046
A Very Long Engagement
The Weeping Meadow
So who would the Academy choose if they had to choose from my choices? For Actor, I suspect they would choose Cheadle, given that he was the only Oscar nominee I choose. For Actress, Staunton got the critic's love, but Winslet is now in a movie nominated for best picture. I think Winslet would win. For supporting actor, I think the Academy would leap at the opportunity to honor a movie as profitable as Harry Potter and choose Gambon. For supporting actress, I suspect they would give it to Tomlin, as the one American.
Re: Your Favorite Performances from 1930 to the present
And what if I had to include two of the Academy's nominees?
Picture: The Aviator, Million Dollar Baby
Actor: Foxx. This would probably lead him to win, as the Academy's actual choice, even though Ray no longer has a best picture nomination.
Actress: no change
S. Actor: Freeman, Church. Freeman probably wins under these circumstances, even if his co-stars aren't nominated.
S. Actress: Okendo, Blanchett. Blanchett wins.
Picture: The Aviator, Million Dollar Baby
Actor: Foxx. This would probably lead him to win, as the Academy's actual choice, even though Ray no longer has a best picture nomination.
Actress: no change
S. Actor: Freeman, Church. Freeman probably wins under these circumstances, even if his co-stars aren't nominated.
S. Actress: Okendo, Blanchett. Blanchett wins.
Re: Your Favorite Performances from 1930 to the present
And now for the winners 1995-2004
ACTOR
1995 Morgan Freeman Se7en/Nicolas Cage Leaving Las Vegas
1996 Ralph Fiennes The English Patient
1997 Kevin Spacey L.A. Confidential/Matt Damon Good Will Hunting
1998 Tom Hanks Saving Private Ryan
1999 Bob Hoskins Felicity's Journey/Russell Crowe The Insider
2000 John Cusack High Fidelity
2001 Gene Hackman The Royal Tenenbaums/Denzel Washington Training Day
2002 Adrien Brody The Pianist
2003 Viggo Mortenson The Lord of the Rings: the Return of the King
2004 Don Cheadle Hotel Rwanda/Jamie Foxx Ray
ACTRESS
1995 Susan Sarandon Dead Man Walking
1996 Brenda Blethyn Secrets and Lies/Kristen Scott Thomas The English Patient
1997 Sarah Polley The Sweet Hereafter/Helen Hunt As Good as it Gets
1998 Gwyneth Paltrow Shakespeare in Love
1999 Hillary Swank Boys Don't Cry
2000 Julia Roberts Erin Brockovich
2001 Naomi Watts Mulholland Drive
2002 Diane Lane Unfaithful
2003 Charlize Theron Monster
2004 Kate Winslet The Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
SUPPORTING ACTOR
1995 Kevin Spacey The Usual Suspects
1996 Edward Norton Primal Fear
1997 Burt Reynolds Boogie Nights/Robin Williams Good Will Hunting
1998 Geoffrey Rush Elizabeth
1999 Philip Seymour Hoffman Magnolia, The Talented Mr. Ripley
2000 Albert Finney Erin Brockovich
2001 Ian McKellan The Lord of the Rings: the Fellowship of the Ring
2002 Andy Serkis The Lord of the Rings: the Two Towers/Chris Cooper Adaptation
2003 Sean Astin The Lord of the Rings: the Return of the King
2004 Michael Gambon Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban/Morgan Freeman Million Dollar Baby
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1995 Gwyneth Paltrow Se7en/Mira Sorvino Mighty Aphrodite
1996 Juliette Binoche Certified Copy
1997 Julianne Moore Boogie Nights
1998 Thandie Newton Beloved/Judi Dench Shakespeare in Love
1999 Julianne Moore Magnolia
2000 Jennifer Connelly Requiem for a Dream/Kate Hudson Almost Famous
2001 Helen Mirren Gosford Park
2002 Catherine Zeta-Jones Chicago
2003 Christina Ricci Monster/Patricia Clarkson Dogville
2004 Lily Tomlin I [Heart] Huckabees/Cate Blanchett The Aviator
ACTOR
1995 Morgan Freeman Se7en/Nicolas Cage Leaving Las Vegas
1996 Ralph Fiennes The English Patient
1997 Kevin Spacey L.A. Confidential/Matt Damon Good Will Hunting
1998 Tom Hanks Saving Private Ryan
1999 Bob Hoskins Felicity's Journey/Russell Crowe The Insider
2000 John Cusack High Fidelity
2001 Gene Hackman The Royal Tenenbaums/Denzel Washington Training Day
2002 Adrien Brody The Pianist
2003 Viggo Mortenson The Lord of the Rings: the Return of the King
2004 Don Cheadle Hotel Rwanda/Jamie Foxx Ray
ACTRESS
1995 Susan Sarandon Dead Man Walking
1996 Brenda Blethyn Secrets and Lies/Kristen Scott Thomas The English Patient
1997 Sarah Polley The Sweet Hereafter/Helen Hunt As Good as it Gets
1998 Gwyneth Paltrow Shakespeare in Love
1999 Hillary Swank Boys Don't Cry
2000 Julia Roberts Erin Brockovich
2001 Naomi Watts Mulholland Drive
2002 Diane Lane Unfaithful
2003 Charlize Theron Monster
2004 Kate Winslet The Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
SUPPORTING ACTOR
1995 Kevin Spacey The Usual Suspects
1996 Edward Norton Primal Fear
1997 Burt Reynolds Boogie Nights/Robin Williams Good Will Hunting
1998 Geoffrey Rush Elizabeth
1999 Philip Seymour Hoffman Magnolia, The Talented Mr. Ripley
2000 Albert Finney Erin Brockovich
2001 Ian McKellan The Lord of the Rings: the Fellowship of the Ring
2002 Andy Serkis The Lord of the Rings: the Two Towers/Chris Cooper Adaptation
2003 Sean Astin The Lord of the Rings: the Return of the King
2004 Michael Gambon Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban/Morgan Freeman Million Dollar Baby
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1995 Gwyneth Paltrow Se7en/Mira Sorvino Mighty Aphrodite
1996 Juliette Binoche Certified Copy
1997 Julianne Moore Boogie Nights
1998 Thandie Newton Beloved/Judi Dench Shakespeare in Love
1999 Julianne Moore Magnolia
2000 Jennifer Connelly Requiem for a Dream/Kate Hudson Almost Famous
2001 Helen Mirren Gosford Park
2002 Catherine Zeta-Jones Chicago
2003 Christina Ricci Monster/Patricia Clarkson Dogville
2004 Lily Tomlin I [Heart] Huckabees/Cate Blanchett The Aviator
Re: Your Favorite Performances from 1930 to the present
Now it's 2005. Here are the Academy's choices:
ACTOR
Philip Seymour Hoffman – Capote
Terrence Howard – Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger – Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix – Walk the Line
David Strathairn – Good Night, and Good Luck
ACTRESS
Judi Dench – Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman – Transamerica
Keira Knightley – Pride & Prejudice
Charlize Theron – North Country
Reese Witherspoon – Walk the Line
SUPPORTING ACTOR
George Clooney – Syriana
Matt Dillon – Crash
Paul Giamatti – Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal – Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt – A History of Violence
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams – Junebug
Catherine Keener – Capote
Frances McDormand – North Country
Rachel Weisz – The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams – Brokeback Mountain
And here are my choices:
ACTOR
Robert Downey Jr, Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
Issey Ogata, The Sun
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Viggo Mortensen, A History of Violence
Jeremie Renier, The Child
ACTRESS
Q'Orianka Kilcher, The New World*
Juliette Binoche, Cache
Clotilde Hesme, Regular Lovers
Shu Qi, Three Times
Jodie Foster, Flightplan
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ed Harris, A History of Violence
Val Kilmer, Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
Christian Bale, The New World
Liam Neeson, Batman Begins
Jack Black, King Kong
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Monaghan, Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
Tilda Swinton, Broken Flowers, The Chronicles of Narnia: the Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Maria Bello, A History of Violence
Scarlett Johansson, Match Point
And here are the nominees for best picture:
The Child
The Death of Mr. Lazarescu
Howl's Moving Castle
Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
The New World
So who would the Academy choose if they had to choose from my nominees? For actor, Hoffman was the clear critical favorite, with the only weakness that he now is not in a movie nominated for best picture. For Actress Kilcher actually has a good chance, fighting three foreign actresses and a nominee who already had in a movie and whom nobody considered a serious nominee. For supporting actor, Harris got the most critical love, even if the Academy ignored him. And the Academy chose Weisz in real life without a best picture nomination to back her up, so they are likely to do here as well.
ACTOR
Philip Seymour Hoffman – Capote
Terrence Howard – Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger – Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix – Walk the Line
David Strathairn – Good Night, and Good Luck
ACTRESS
Judi Dench – Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman – Transamerica
Keira Knightley – Pride & Prejudice
Charlize Theron – North Country
Reese Witherspoon – Walk the Line
SUPPORTING ACTOR
George Clooney – Syriana
Matt Dillon – Crash
Paul Giamatti – Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal – Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt – A History of Violence
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams – Junebug
Catherine Keener – Capote
Frances McDormand – North Country
Rachel Weisz – The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams – Brokeback Mountain
And here are my choices:
ACTOR
Robert Downey Jr, Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
Issey Ogata, The Sun
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Viggo Mortensen, A History of Violence
Jeremie Renier, The Child
ACTRESS
Q'Orianka Kilcher, The New World*
Juliette Binoche, Cache
Clotilde Hesme, Regular Lovers
Shu Qi, Three Times
Jodie Foster, Flightplan
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ed Harris, A History of Violence
Val Kilmer, Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
Christian Bale, The New World
Liam Neeson, Batman Begins
Jack Black, King Kong
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Monaghan, Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
Tilda Swinton, Broken Flowers, The Chronicles of Narnia: the Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Maria Bello, A History of Violence
Scarlett Johansson, Match Point
And here are the nominees for best picture:
The Child
The Death of Mr. Lazarescu
Howl's Moving Castle
Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
The New World
So who would the Academy choose if they had to choose from my nominees? For actor, Hoffman was the clear critical favorite, with the only weakness that he now is not in a movie nominated for best picture. For Actress Kilcher actually has a good chance, fighting three foreign actresses and a nominee who already had in a movie and whom nobody considered a serious nominee. For supporting actor, Harris got the most critical love, even if the Academy ignored him. And the Academy chose Weisz in real life without a best picture nomination to back her up, so they are likely to do here as well.
Re: Your Favorite Performances from 1930 to the present
And if we had to include two of the Academy's choices:
Picture: Capote, Munich
Actor: Ledger, no change
Actress: To be honest, I have not seen any of the five nominees from this year, the only year for which that is the case. But I'll choose Witherspoon and Knightley sight unseen. Witherspoon wins
S. Actor: Gyllenhal, Clooney. I suspect Clooney wins.
S. Actress: Keener, no change
Picture: Capote, Munich
Actor: Ledger, no change
Actress: To be honest, I have not seen any of the five nominees from this year, the only year for which that is the case. But I'll choose Witherspoon and Knightley sight unseen. Witherspoon wins
S. Actor: Gyllenhal, Clooney. I suspect Clooney wins.
S. Actress: Keener, no change